← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
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Mr Fox’s call
My Old Mate
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/7 Est. 52%
Mr Fox says
My Old Mate (SR 86, 4/7) holds a decisive class advantage in this modest five-runner Class 5 handicap — SR 86 versus the next-best Marsh Benham at SR 77 and Danehill Star at SR 65 is a meaningful gap at this level. The form string 982113 reads as a horse in sharp ascent, with three consecutive wins culminating in the most recent run just five days ago, suggesting peak condition. Billy Loughnane (19% strike rate, 1,774 career rides) is the strongest jockey booking in the field by some margin, and DistFit:+ confirms the distance suits. The step up one class tier (ClassMv:↑1) and a mark 8lb higher than the last win are the only notes of caution, but at SR 86 the horse is simply operating at a different level to most of these rivals. Each-way alternative: Marsh Benham. Main danger: Marsh Benham — Marsh Benham (SR 77, 10/3) has shortened 7% in the market and carries top-weight 10-0 against a 3-year-old on 9-5, giving My Old Mate a 9lb pull that could offset some of the SR gap — and two previous places at Brighton signal a course specialist who won't be ground down easily.
Full result
Winner: Danehill Star (IRE) at SP 11/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Danehill Star Fox #3 15/2
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2
My Old Mate Fox #1 8/15
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3
War Chant 16/1
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4
Marsh Benham Fox #2 10/3
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5
Nordic Norm 28/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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3