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Brighton Racecourse Antiques And Vintage Fair Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Kondratiev Wave
MEDIUM Advised 9/2 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Kondratiev Wave (SR:60, 9/2) carries the strongest Saturday Rating in the field and has steamed in 30% in the market — the most significant move on the card and a clear signal that connections and informed money are confident. At 9-9 for a 9-year-old, the weight is manageable in a Class 6 sprint, and jockey Billy Loughnane (19% strike rate across 1,779 rides) is a strong booking that upgrades the chances materially. The DistFit:- and GoingFit:- are genuine concerns, but at this level the SR dominance and the dramatic market move override moderate going/distance reservations — Tony Carroll (13%, 1,446 runners) doesn't steam a horse 30% without intent. Each-way alternative: Superstorm. Main danger: Superstorm — Superstorm (SR:63, 9/2) actually leads the field on SR, carries a favourable 9-1 with a MarkMv:+2 that barely stings, and has a confirmed Course:W1P1 record at Brighton — course specialisation at this track is a meaningful edge and the form figure of '1' last time out is live.
Full result
Winner: Berning Hot (IRE) at SP 22/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Berning Hot 18/1
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2
Superstorm Fox #2 7/2
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3
Kondratiev Wave Fox #1 7/2
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4
Neat And Tidy 8/1
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5
Barry The Worm 25/1
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6
Mister Sandman Fox #4 11/2
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7
Nautical Sky Fox #3 9/2
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8
Thanks Dad 9/1
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9
Girls Allowed 11/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Kondratiev Wave 9/2 🥉 3RD
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2
Superstorm 9/2 🥈 2ND
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3
Nautical Sky 11/4 7TH
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4
Mister Sandman 6/1 6TH