← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
'Celebrating Veteran Armed Forces' Selling Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Runninsonofagun
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 SP 9/4F Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Runninsonofagun (SR:70, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field and carries a workable 9-12, giving him a 2lb pull on top-weight Yermanthere (SR:71 but drifted massively at 37% out). The market has backed him in 19% since opening — money moving with purpose — and Jason Hart (14% strike rate from 1,330 rides) is a strong booking. He has proven distance fitness (DistFit:+) at today's trip of just over a mile, and while his GoingFit is only moderate (~), good ground is far from an obstacle. His form line of 513226 shows consistency at this level with no dramatic flop, and at Class 5 with a ClassMv:= he faces exactly the class he has been operating in, removing any step-up uncertainty. Each-way alternative: Falcon Nine. Main danger: Yermanthere — Yermanthere holds the joint-top SR (71) and gets a class drop (↓1) on good going where he is proven (GoingFit:+), and despite the alarming 37% drift — which reflects the MarkMv:+5 and distance concerns — if the early market was wrong and connections are confident, he retains the raw ability to win.
Full result
Winner: Runninsonofagun (IRE) at SP 9/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Runninsonofagun Fox #1 3/1
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2
Motawaared Fox #4 5/1
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3
Princess Niyla 16/1
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4
Miners Gamble 13/2
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5
Mayor Of Maghera 11/1
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6
Yermanthere Fox #2 11/2
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7
Theme Park 12/1
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8
Falcon Nine Fox #3 9/2
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9
Titainium 10/1
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10
Simple Star 33/1
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11
Langton Wold 66/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Runninsonofagun 4/1 SP 9/4F 🏆 WON
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2
Yermanthere 9/2 6TH
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3
Falcon Nine 4/1 8TH
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4
Motawaared 11/2 🥈 2ND