← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Matchbook Loves Racing Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Molly Mac
SPECULATIVE Advised 15/8 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Molly Mac (SR:79, 15/8) is the class standout in this field by a clear margin — 8 SR points clear of Cape Toronada (SR:71) and 19 clear of Koffee And Kale (SR:67). The market has backed that view with a 12% inward move, reflecting genuine confidence from connections. GoingFit:+ confirms she handles today's Good to Firm conditions, and dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1) from her last run means she faces a softer task than recently. The MarkMv:+4 is a minor concern, but the combination of superior ability, proven going preference, and strong market support overrides that caution. Each-way alternative: Cape Toronada. Main danger: Cape Toronada — Cape Toronada (SR:71, 4/1) brings strong recent form (642141 — a win two runs ago and a runner-up last time), a confirmed DistFit:+ at today's trip, and Rossa Ryan (16% career strike rate) in the saddle, making him the most credible threat to Molly Mac in this field.
Full result
Winner: Cape Toronada (FR) at SP 100/30. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Cape Toronada Fox #2 10/3
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2
Angel Summer 11/1
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3
Beach Partee 28/1
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4
Koffee And Kale Fox #3 11/2
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5
Molly Mac Fox #1 6/4
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6
Venetian Romance 16/1
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7
Magic Lady Mae 80/1
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8
Star Obsession 9/2
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9
Hellcat 40/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Molly Mac 15/8 5TH
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2
Cape Toronada 4/1 SP 100/30 🏆 WON
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3
Koffee And Kale 5/1 🏁 4TH