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BOYLE Sports Home Of The Early Payout Steeplechase
Mr Fox’s call
Bowensonfire
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Bowensonfire (SR 142, 11/4) is the strongest on ability in this modest six-runner field, holds a clear SR edge over every rival bar Jazzy Matty, and crucially carries only 11-2 — 5lb less than Addragoole while rated 8 points higher. The DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ flags confirm proven effectiveness at this trip and on good ground, which is a decisive edge in a race where the two closest rivals on SR (Jazzy Matty, GoingFit:-) and Addragoole (GoingFit:-) both have going concerns. As Gordon Elliott's #1 string (Jack Kennedy booked ahead of Joshua Halford on Ma Jacks Hill, and Ma Jacks Hill has drifted a massive 56% in the market), connections are clearly riding this one to win. The only question mark is the very short turnaround of 2 days since last run, but Elliott regularly targets quick back-up runs with fit chasers at provincial Irish tracks. Each-way alternative: Addragoole. Main danger: Jazzy Matty — Despite the GoingFit:- flag, Jazzy Matty's SR of 144 is the highest in the field, and if the going dries further or the fitness edge from a recent run (Days:2) translates, Collins's runner could outclass the field on pure ability at a 5/2 price that still implies reasonable market backing.
Full result
Winner: Bunting (FR) at SP 10/11F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Bunting Fox #4 4/5
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2
Runcok 16/1
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3
Addragoole Fox #3 5/4
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Ma Jacks Hill SP
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Bowensonfire Fox #1 15/8
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Jazzy Matty Fox #2 5/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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4