← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Corrib Oil Beginners Steeplechase
Mr Fox’s call
Jeroboam Machin
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Jeroboam Machin leads the field on SR (120) by a clear margin over the next best, carries the same 11-12 as all bar Jolie Jewel, and GoingFit:+ confirms he handles today's good ground. Emmet Mullins at 11% from 311 runners is a competent handler for a beginner chaser, and Donagh Meyler's 12% strike rate is respectable. The 9/4 market has him as a clear favourite and his recent form of 4-3-2 shows consistent effort — including a place behind likely better horses — which is exactly the profile to build on over fences for the first time at this level. Rusty Harkness is the credible danger but Jeroboam Machin's 4-SR-point advantage and ground confirmation tip the balance. Each-way alternative: Rusty Harkness. Main danger: Rusty Harkness — Rusty Harkness (SR:116, 3/1) has shortened 9% in the market, is trained by the in-form Henry De Bromhead (14% strike rate from 1,060 runners), partnered by Darragh O'Keeffe who matches at 14%, and his last-time-out form of 2-1 shows he is arriving in peak condition — the market money is real and he is only 4 SR points behind the selection.
Full result
Winner: Rusty Harkness (GB) at SP 5/2J. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Rusty Harkness Fox #2 3/1
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2
Fou De Toi 9/1
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3
Jolie Jewel 8/1
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4
Jeroboam Machin Fox #1 5/2
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5
Donnie Devito Fox #4 13/2
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6
Maverick Mack 40/1
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7
Slurricane 18/1
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—
Kevin's Pride 12/1
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—
Mickie Angel Fox #3 11/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Jeroboam Machin 9/4 🏁 4TH
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2
Rusty Harkness 3/1 SP 5/2J 🏆 WON
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3
Mickie Angel 9/2
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4
Donnie Devito 15/2 5TH