← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Flat Race
Mr Fox’s call
Zara's Dream
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/8 Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Zara's Dream (SR:91, 11/8) carries the strongest connections in the race by a considerable margin — W P Mullins at 21% career strike rate paired with Patrick Mullins at 29% is the standout booking on the card, and in Irish bumpers that combination is routinely the market's most reliable signal. The SR of 91 matches She Was The One and is clearly superior to most of the field, and the Mullins yard does not pitch unraced fillies into competitive bumpers without serious belief in their ability. All runners show DistFit:? and GoingFit:? so there is no distance or going edge to separate them on record — the tie-breaker is connections and SR, both of which point firmly to Zara's Dream. The 11/8 price is short but the Mullins machine in a bumper field this modest is a genuine short-price play. Each-way alternative: The Lodge Lane. Main danger: She Was The One — She Was The One (SR:91, 6/1) has actual racecourse experience — a form line of 52-3 — which gives her a fitness and experience edge over the unraced Zara's Dream, and H C Swan's 15% strike rate for Hogan is solid, though the 17% market drift is a concern.
Full result
Winner: Elegantemente (FR) at SP 8/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Elegantemente Fox #4 4/1
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2
She Was The One Fox #2 7/1
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3
Indoor Sport 25/1
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4
Mastertown Miss 13/2
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5
Zara's Dream Fox #1 15/8
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6
She Means Business 25/1
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7
Hee Hiles 18/1
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8
Queens Counsel 9/1
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9
River Moy 18/1
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10
Rathnaleen Aj 40/1
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11
The Lodge Lane Fox #3 17/2
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—
Ailbhes Gift 50/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Zara's Dream 11/8 5TH
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2
She Was The One 6/1 🥈 2ND
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3
The Lodge Lane 10/1 11TH
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4
Elegantemente 9/2 SP 8/1 🏆 WON