← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Advice You Can Trust At gambling.com Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Lazurite
MEDIUM Advised 8/15 SP 2/5F Est. 42%
Mr Fox says
Lazurite (SR 161, 8/15) is the class standout by a clear margin — 8 SR points clear of Cuban Promise and 13 clear of Ambience. Despite 95 days off the track, the market has shortened 18% since opening, signalling stable confidence in her return. Her form of 27 (7th then 2nd) shows progressive improvement, the 2nd placing demonstrating she can compete and finish, and the yard (Richard Hughes, 13% strike rate) has clearly had this run planned. At even-money territory in a 7-runner novice where all weights are level at 9-2, she carries no physical penalty and her SR dominance is decisive. Each-way alternative: Cuban Promise. Main danger: Cuban Promise — Cuban Promise (SR 153, 4/1) has steamed in 23% since opening — the strongest market move in the field — and Cieren Fallon (19% career strike rate) is an elite booking that suggests connections believe this debutante is ready to perform at a level that could challenge Lazurite's return from 95 days off.
Full result
Winner: Lazurite (GB) at SP 2/5F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Lazurite Fox #1 1/2
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2
Thai Baht 7/1
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3
Lady Of Lucca 50/1
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4
Dark Reign 20/1
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5
Cuban Promise Fox #2 4/1
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6
Cotai Jaunt 22/1
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—
Ambience Fox #3 4/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Lazurite 8/15 SP 2/5F 🏆 WON
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2
Cuban Promise 4/1 5TH
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3
Ambience 4/1