← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
AAB Group And Bibby Financial Services Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Monhammer
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Monhammer (SR:67, 4/1, Wgt:8-13) is the highest-rated runner in the field and carries the lightest weight among the genuine contenders, giving it a meaningful lbs advantage — 12lb less than top-weight Vince Le Prince and 4lb less than Edmond Halley. Its form of 324611 shows back-to-back wins most recently, and Course:W2P5 at Musselburgh is exceptional specialist form. DistFit:+ confirms it handles this 7f trip, and although GoingFit is only ~, the good ground is not a significant concern. Linda Perratt's yard runs two here; Monhammer carries the stable flag (#1 designation) with the stronger recent form and the more experienced course record, and the 4/1 price is workable. The +7 mark rise is the one concern, but the weight-for-age advantage partially offsets that penalty. Each-way alternative: Keep Me Stable. Main danger: Edmond Halley — Edmond Halley (SR:65, 3/1, Mkt:in43%) is the equal top-rated runner and has been backed heavily from a much bigger opening price — the market is clearly confident, Edward Bethell's 16% strike rate is the best in the field, and Oisin Orr is a high-quality booking that adds further credibility.
Full result
Winner: Novak (GB) at SP 7/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Novak Fox #4 5/1
-
2
Luminous Warrior 11/1
-
3
Vince Le Prince 7/1
-
4
Gressington 16/1
-
5
Edmond Halley Fox #2 11/4
-
6
Monhammer Fox #1 11/2
-
7
Keep Me Stable Fox #3 17/2
-
8
Sir David 12/1
-
9
Coconut Bay 7/1
-
10
Evangelic 80/1
-
—
Joshuas Dream 22/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Monhammer 4/1 6TH
-
2
Edmond Halley 3/1 5TH
-
3
Keep Me Stable 15/2 7TH
-
4
Novak 13/2 SP 7/2 🏆 WON