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Stratford Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle Race
Mr Fox’s call
French Diablo
SPECULATIVE Advised 6/5 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
French Diablo (SR:83, 6/5) is the standout on multiple converging signals. The course form (W1P2 at Stratford) is a meaningful edge in a thin Class 5 field, and the market has steamed in 21% — significant money arriving late in a small field is hard to ignore. David Bass (11% strike rate, 142 career winners) is a strong booking, and Max Comley's 12% trainer strike rate from 162 runners is respectable. The MarkMv:+4 is a modest penalty after a recent win but the SR:83 leads the field by 3lb over next-best Brionywells (SR:86 — but Brionywells is 6/1 with no market support and a 74-day layoff). Weight of 11-0 is favourable compared to the top-weights carrying 11-12 with inferior SRs, and the recent form 68-P31 shows a win and a placed finish in the last two completions. Each-way alternative: Brionywells. Main danger: Brionywells — Brionywells (SR:86, 6/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field and recent form 48-114 shows a hat-trick of wins before this return; if the 74-day layoff hasn't blunted the edge, it represents the chief threat to French Diablo.
Full result
Winner: Delgany Second Now (GB) at SP 15/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Delgany Second Now Fox #3 5/2
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2
Captain Connor 22/1
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3
Brionywells Fox #2 13/2
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4
Bells Of Ufford 10/1
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5
Mc'flo 18/1
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French Diablo Fox #1 evn
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Kotgar 14/1
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Pink Walls 125/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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3