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Mr Fox’s call
Jack Doyen
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Jack Doyen (SR:86, 11/4) carries a workable 11-5 and posts the best recent form in the field with a 311-21 sequence — a win and a second from his last two completed runs at the same class. Trainer Ben Case operates at a solid 16% strike rate from 37 runners, and the form line shows genuine consistency that Youdecide's 261-day absence and poor recent record (F444P) cannot match. The market has drifted 20% which is a mild concern, but this looks partly explained by the MarkMv:+5 (running 5lb higher than last win) rather than any fundamental doubt — at 11/4 with the strongest active form in the race, the value is still present. The +5 mark premium is manageable given the weight carried is lighter than top-weight Bobbarelli (12-0) despite the superior SR of 86 vs 84. Each-way alternative: Crackerjack Queen. Main danger: Youdecide — Youdecide (SR:87, 7/4) is the highest-rated horse in the field, drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), and a 14% market move in suggests stable confidence despite 261 days off — if Ben Pauling has this horse fit on return, the class edge could prove decisive.
Full result
Winner: Youdecide (IRE) at SP 1/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Youdecide Fox #3 6/4
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2
Pescatorius 12/1
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3
Watchoutitscookie 15/2
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Bobbarelli 13/2
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Jack Doyen Fox #1 9/2
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Crackerjack Queen Fox #2 12/1
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Kings Order 15/2
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Fox Wallace 50/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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2
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3