Ploughman Bar & Grill Handicap (Div I)

16:55 Bellewstown Tue 25 Aug 2026 7f195y Good 16 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Launch Time

SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 Est. 32%

🥈 2ND

Mr Fox says

Launch Time (SR:62, 9/4) is the clear SR leader in this field by a margin of 6 points over the next best (Brains, SR:56), and that ability edge is backed by a 12% market move in — Colin Keane booking at 16% strike rate from over 1,000 career rides is a meaningful signal in an Irish handicap. Carrying 10-0 is the heaviest weight in the field, but the SR advantage is substantial enough to absorb that burden in a 7f195y contest on Good going where DistFit:~ and GoingFit:~ at least show moderate compatibility. The visor application and an 11-day turnaround suggest connections are optimistic, and a MarkMv:+4 is only a modest rise — not a punishing hike. The form string 149317 shows recent inconsistency, but the market confidence of 12% inward move on a 9/4 shot in a 16-runner handicap is hard to dismiss. Each-way alternative: Brains. Main danger: Brains — Brains (SR:56, 5/1) has steamed in 35% from its opening price — the strongest market move in the field — and at age 10 on a 5-day turnaround the connections clearly believe conditions suit, making that sustained market confidence the most compelling counter-signal to Launch Time's superiority.

Verify· #14174

Full result

Winner: Wegotogether (IRE) at SP 11/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.