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19:21 Kempton (AW) Wed 26 Aug 2026 0m7f0y Class 4 Good to Soft 10 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Afraj silks

Afraj

SPECULATIVE Advised 5/1 SP 11/1 Est. 28%

🏆 WON

Mr Fox says

Afraj (SR:83, 5/1) combines the second-highest SR in the field with a 13% market shortening — the clearest money signal in this race — and carries a favourable 9-0 into a Class 4 handicap. The Gosden/Buick combination (24%/20% strike rates respectively) is the most potent trainer-jockey pairing declared, and DistFit:+ confirms she handles this 7f trip. Her 1-334 form shows a winner followed by consistent placed efforts, suggesting she is a reliable performer running at a fair mark (ClassMv:=). The drift on Shushu (Mkt:out30%) and the market steaming into Afraj rather than the higher-SR Merry makes the case compelling. Each-way alternative: Merry. Main danger: Merry — Merry (SR:86, 7/2) is the highest-rated runner with Course:W1P2 at Kempton and DistFit:+, and despite a 9% trainer strike rate, the course specialist profile and top SR make her the most likely alternative winner.

Full result

Winner: Afraj (IRE) at SP 11/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Afraj silks Afraj Fox #1 John & Thady Gosden · William Buick 6/1
  2. 2 Merry silks Merry Fox #2 James Horton · Daniel Muscutt 7/2
  3. 3 Ghisa silks Ghisa Fox #3 Charlie Fellowes · Paddy Bradley 7/2
  4. 4 Sahana silks Sahana David Simcock · Dylan Hogan 28/1
  5. 5 Bridget's View silks Bridget's View Stuart Williams · Rossa Ryan 15/2
  6. 6 Ribenska silks Ribenska Charlie Fellowes · Callum Shepherd 11/2
  7. 7 Star Mirage silks Star Mirage Hamad Al Jehani · Cieren Fallon 12/1
  8. 8 Paris Babe silks Paris Babe Archie Watson · Pierre-Louis Jamin 28/1
  9. 9 Shushu silks Shushu Fox #4 Roger Varian · Ray Dawson 6/1
  10. Musical Angel silks Musical Angel Simon Dow · Harry Davies 20/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Afraj silks Afraj 5/1 SP 11/1 🏆 WON
  2. 2 Merry silks Merry 7/2 🥈 2ND
  3. 3 Ghisa silks Ghisa 9/2 🥉 3RD
  4. 4 Shushu silks Shushu 13/2 9TH