← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
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Mr Fox’s call
Bint Kilfrush
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 26%
Mr Fox says
Bint Kilfrush (SR:87, 4/1) holds the second-highest SR in the field and carries a favourable 9-7 — 13lb less than Gloryous and 1lb less than Bintknight — which is a meaningful weight advantage on a competitive Class 4 AW handicap. The market has shortened 8% since opening, suggesting informed money is arriving without fanfare. Her form string '155' at the same class mark as today (ClassMv:=) shows she has placed twice at this level after a win, meaning she is competitive against this calibre and not flattered by a class drop. With James Tate (17% career strike rate, 405 runners) and Ray Dawson (16%) providing a sharp, results-oriented connection, she represents the most complete package of SR, weight, market support and stable confidence in the field. Each-way alternative: Aphrodite Spirit. Main danger: Bintknight — Bintknight carries the highest SR in the field (91) on a light 9-6, and despite a 30% market drift — likely traffic from layers rather than a fitness concern — her '5121' form at the same class level includes a recent win and is by far the sharpest recent sequence here.
Full result
Winner: Gloryous (IRE) at SP 13/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Gloryous 15/2
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2
Aphrodite Spirit Fox #4 13/2
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3
Bint Kilfrush Fox #1 11/4
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4
Bintknight Fox #2 10/3
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5
Big Bear Hug 33/1
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6
Affection 40/1
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7
Seacole 11/1
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8
Ladykirk Fox #3 11/4
Top 4 — how each finished
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2
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3
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4