← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Pump Technology Nursery Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Primal
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/8 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Primal (SR:77, 11/8) is comfortably the highest-rated horse in this field by a margin of 6 points over the next best, dropping three class tiers which is a significant relief. The market has backed the confidence — shortening 11% since opening — and Oisin Murphy (21% strike rate, 1354 career runners) is a high-calibre booking that further underscores yard intent from Andrew Balding (19% strike rate). The DistFit:- and GoingFit:? are genuine concerns at 7f on Good to Firm, but the class drop-3 and SR superiority are strong enough compensations, and a fresh horse (27 days) with a 4th last time out at higher grade has clear upside. Each-way alternative: Mino. Main danger: Mino — Mino (SR:66, 7/1) has steamed in 30% in the market — the biggest move in the field — carries only 9-7, has a DistFit:- but fresh legs (12 days) and clearly has strong stable confidence behind it that the market is reflecting aggressively.
Full result
Winner: Mobadir (IRE) at SP 5/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Mobadir Fox #2 7/2
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2
Primal Fox #1 11/8
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3
Magi Melchior 28/1
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4
Lushill 25/1
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5
Global Success 20/1
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6
Lilywhite Hart 33/1
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7
Dissenter 40/1
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8
Sovereigns High 12/1
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9
Foscarini 28/1
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10
Star Bayside Boy 20/1
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11
Its A Ginger Thing 28/1
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12
Mino Fox #4 15/2
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13
El Lambo 66/1
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—
Regal Tiger Fox #3 7/1
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—
Golden Oasis 22/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Primal 11/8 🥈 2ND
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2
Mobadir 5/1 SP 5/2 🏆 WON
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3
Regal Tiger 7/1
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4
Mino 7/1 12TH