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Sheldrake Training Limited 'train An Apprentice' Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Edwin Hubble
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Edwin Hubble (SR:89, 7/2) combines the second-highest SR in the field with the most compelling market signal — a 22% inward move from the opening price, suggesting informed support. Oisin Murphy (21% career strike rate, 1354 runners) is the standout jockey booking in this apprentice-format handicap. DistFit:+ confirms he handles 1m2f and GoingFit:~ indicates moderate but workable form on good-to-firm ground. His form line 2-7251 shows a last-time-out win, and while his mark is up 3lb, his SR of 89 matches Empirical at identical weight, and the market is moving decisively his way rather than toward the 7/4 favourite. Each-way alternative: Fans Favourite. Main danger: Empirical — Empirical (SR:90, 7/4) is the joint SR-leader, has steamed 12% in the market, carries blinkers, and his form figures 3-8311 show a last-time-out win — if the blinkers sharpen him further at this trip, he's the most likely winner.
Full result
Winner: Magical Merlot (GB) at SP 4/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Magical Merlot 13/2
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2
Empirical Fox #2 2/1
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3
Edwin Hubble Fox #1 11/4
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4
Island Bear 14/1
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5
Eagles Attire 15/2
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6
Livemore 17/2
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7
Guesstimate Fox #4 7/1
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—
Magnatura 28/1
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Fans Favourite Fox #3 13/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Edwin Hubble 7/2 🥉 3RD
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2
Empirical 7/4 🥈 2ND
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3
Fans Favourite 13/2
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4
Guesstimate 7/1 7TH