← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Download The At The Races App Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Bath Summer Sprint Series Qualifier)
Mr Fox’s call
Fancy Dancer
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Fancy Dancer (SR:59, 4/1) drops two class tiers and runs off a mark 13lb lower than last win — the most significant positive mark move in the field. The 42% market steam from 4/1 opening is the standout market signal here, suggesting informed money is backing the class drop to tell. Course:W1P3 at Wolverhampton is a critical edge on a track where familiarity matters on AW, and GoingFit:~ is better than DistFit:- but the 5f21y trip is the same surface where this horse has placed four times at this course. Sub Thirteen's 14% market support is noted but DistFit:- and GoingFit:- on a dropping mark are offset by Fancy Dancer's superior course record and bigger class drop. Each-way alternative: Sub Thirteen. Main danger: Sub Thirteen — Sub Thirteen (SR:63, 7/4) is the SR leader in the field and has shortened 14% in the market, running off a mark 5lb lower than last win with a class drop — the raw ability edge could overcome the DistFit:- and GoingFit:- negatives in a Class 6 sprint.
Full result
Winner: Sixcor (GB) at SP 4/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Sixcor 6/1
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2
Fancy Dancer Fox #1 9/2
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3
Sub Thirteen Fox #2 6/4
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4
Nad Alshiba Snow 15/2
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5
Rajeteriat 11/1
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6
Bridget's Baby Fox #3 4/1
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—
Dusk Damsel 28/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Fancy Dancer 4/1 🥈 2ND
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2
Sub Thirteen 7/4 🥉 3RD
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3
Bridget's Baby 2/1 6TH