← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Money Back Daily Specials With Tote.ie Handicap Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
Dunany Point
SPECULATIVE Advised 8/1 Est. 22%
Mr Fox says
Dunany Point (SR:76, 8/1) is the standout selection on market signals in a race where no horse dominates on SR alone. The 17% market move IN is the clearest directional signal in a field where every other named runner has drifted — some dramatically (Goin' out 25%, Katherine out 26%, Steps In The Sand out 15%). Carrying only 11-1, it has a meaningful weight advantage over Hatfield Hammer (SR:84, 11-8), Goin' (SR:82, 11-10) and Cornaroya Rocco (11-12), which partially compensates for its lower SR. GoingFit:~ suggests moderate but not poor competence on today's good ground, and with 12 days' freshness following a recent run, the yard appears to have targeted this race deliberately. In a weak 19-runner heat at €6,000 prize money, a confident market move this size on a lightly-weighted runner is the most actionable single piece of intelligence available. Each-way alternative: Hatfield Hammer. Main danger: Hatfield Hammer — Hatfield Hammer (SR:84, 5/1) carries the joint-top SR in the field and blinkers applied for focus; despite drifting 18%, its raw ability edge over the selection is real and Paul Nolan's 9% strike rate with an experienced amateur could see it outrun the going concerns.
Full result
Winner: Ardgillan (IRE) at SP 18/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Ardgillan 25/1
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2
Steps In The Sand Fox #4 5/1
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3
Goin' Fox #3 3/1
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4
Cornaroya Rocco 11/1
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5
Pillartou 33/1
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6
Whiskey Serenade 11/1
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7
Gforcejenny 11/1
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8
Glenriver 7/1
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9
Midnight Musical 20/1
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10
Mr Macphisto 25/1
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11
Katherine 25/1
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Hatfield Hammer Fox #2 6/1
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Memories Maker 50/1
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Dunany Point Fox #1 17/2
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Avec Espoir 33/1
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Grace's Legacy 16/1
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Midleton Rare 12/1
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Balinaboola Steel -
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Magic Hands Noel 18/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Dunany Point 8/1
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2
Hatfield Hammer 5/1
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3
Goin' 4/1 🥉 3RD
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4
Steps In The Sand 9/2 🥈 2ND