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Morgan's Army Fighting Spirit Nursery Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Tango Hotel
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Tango Hotel (SR:86, 7/2, Wgt:9-8) is the highest-rated horse in this Class 5 nursery by a clear margin and arrives with a 22% market move in — the joint sharpest shortening alongside Rhodes Runner. The form line 45122 shows a progressive horse coming to a peak, and crucially it has course form of W1P1 at Ffos Las, a specialist track where familiarity is a genuine edge. George Scott's 18% strike rate is the best in the field, and the DistFit:+ confirms capability at 6f. Running off the same mark as its last win (ClassMv:=) means no penalty for improving — this horse has every condition it needs. Each-way alternative: Laylaty. Main danger: Laylaty — Laylaty (SR:81, 9/4 favourite, Wgt:9-7) has the lightest competitive weight in the main group, an 8% market move in, DistFit:+ at 6f, and a form line of 431 ending in a win — the momentum and trainer Harry Charlton's 17% strike rate make it the most likely to upset Tango Hotel, even if running off a mark 4lb higher than that win.
Full result
Winner: Downonmainstreet (IRE) at SP 9/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Downonmainstreet 6/1
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2
Laylaty Fox #2 9/4
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3
Seed Ya Later Fox #4 7/1
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4
Rhodes Runner Fox #3 7/2
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5
Tango Hotel Fox #1 4/1
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6
Minzaal Time 25/1
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7
Wild Terrain 15/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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4