← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Download The At The Races App Novice Stakes (gbb Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Enoch
MEDIUM Advised 4/5 SP 2/5F Est. 52%
Mr Fox says
Enoch (SR 157, 4/5) is a class apart in this field, carrying the highest SR by 5 points over Colonnade (SR 152) and is trained by John & Thady Gosden — a yard running at 24% strike rate — with William Buick aboard at 20%. The 335-day absence is the only concern, but a single run that produced a win with an SR of 157 signals a horse of genuine quality returning from a considered break rather than a problem horse. The 8% market drift is worth noting but does not override the SR dominance and quality of connections; Buick and Gosden do not run horses blind in Class 4 novices without believing they can win. At 4/5, the price is short but the ability margin over this field is substantial. Each-way alternative: Colonnade. Main danger: Colonnade — Colonnade (SR 152, 9/2) is the only other horse with a competitive SR, trained by Simon & Ed Crisford (20% strike rate), and while the 14% drift and tongue-tie addition suggest connections are not fully confident, a horse rated 152 in a field this weak cannot be dismissed entirely.
Full result
Winner: Enoch (IRE) at SP 2/5F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Enoch Fox #1 4/5
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2
Black Chiffon Fox #3 15/8
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3
Colonnade Fox #2 9/2
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4
Classy Night 100/1
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5
Paniolo Creek 250/1
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6
Irish Spring 200/1
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7
Open To Offers 125/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3