← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Itus Event Support Services Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle Race
Mr Fox’s call
Linden Lane
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Linden Lane (SR:93, 4/1, Wgt:11-4) holds the joint-top SR in the field and has been backed in aggressively from a morning price — a 38% market move inward is the most significant money signal in this race and should not be ignored. Three places at Newton Abbot (Course:W0P3) confirms a genuine course affinity on a track that rewards familiarity, and she runs off the same mark as her last outing (no ClassMv penalty). The 6 further lbs she concedes to Buxted Reel is offset by her superior course knowledge, the strong market move, and a consistent place-finding form string that suits a small 7-runner field. Moderate distance fitness (DistFit:~) is the one caveat, but the money coming in late suggests connections are happy with the conditions. Each-way alternative: Buxted Reel. Main danger: Buxted Reel — Buxted Reel (SR:92, 15/8, DistFit:+, GoingFit:+) is proven at this trip and on this going, and at the favourite's price the market clearly rates it highly despite a MarkMv:+26 penalty and a one-class step up — if Tom Lacey has the horse spot-on after 19 days' rest, the distance and going fitness could prove decisive.
Full result
Winner: Buxted Reel (IRE) at SP 11/8F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Buxted Reel Fox #2 15/8
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2
Most Wanted 9/1
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3
Ask Peter Fox #3 3/1
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4
Linden Lane Fox #1 4/1
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Run Away Joe -
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Pivotal Days 40/1
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Estate Planning Fox #4 7/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Linden Lane 4/1 🏁 4TH
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2
Buxted Reel 15/8 SP 11/8F 🏆 WON
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3
Ask Peter 3/1 🥉 3RD
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4
Estate Planning 4/1