Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap Stakes (Div II)

18:30 Southwell (AW) Thu 27 Aug 2026 7f14y Class 6 Good 10 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Adelaide Bay

SPECULATIVE Advised 7/4 Est. 35%

🥉 3RD

Mr Fox says

Adelaide Bay (SR:63, 7/4) is joint-top on ability and carries only 9-8 — a 1lb edge over the only horse matching her SR in Shades Of May. The MarkMv:-6 indicates she's running off a mark 6lb lower than her last win, which is a material handicapping advantage in a Class 6 field. Billy Loughnane's 19% career strike rate is the strongest jockey booking in the race, and the form string 825264 shows consistent competitiveness. The main reservation is DistFit:- and GoingFit:-, both flagging a weak record at 7f on good going — but at 7/4 the market is clearly discounting those concerns and backing raw ability at a favourable mark. Each-way alternative: Shades Of May. Main danger: Shades Of May — Shades Of May (SR:63, 9/2) matches Adelaide Bay on ability, has confirmed DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ at today's trip and going — the strongest course-and-conditions profile in the race — plus a 31% market move in since opening and a course record of W1P1 at Southwell, making her the one horse with the full set of ground-and-track credentials to outperform.

Verify· #14533

Full result

Winner: Shades Of May (GB) at SP 6/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

1 Shades Of May Fox #2 Mark Usher · Rose Dawes(5) 6/1
2 King Sharja Ruth Carr · James Sullivan 11/2
3 Adelaide Bay Fox #1 Jane Chapple-Hyam · Billy Loughnane 2/1
4 Respectable Jack Matt Crawley · Warren Fentiman(3) 10/1
5 Fulford Cross David Simcock · Silvestre De Sousa 15/2
6 Al Suil Eile Derek Shaw · George Wood 50/1
7 My Mate Beattie Scott Dixon · Christian Howarth(3) 22/1
8 Starshot Lawrence Mullaney · Alistair Rawlinson 33/1
9 Give Me The Night Fox #3 Mark Rimell · Hector Crouch 3/1
10 Royal Justice Scott Dixon · Mikkel Mortensen(5) 150/1

Top 4 — how each finished

1 Adelaide Bay 7/4 🥉 3RD
2 Shades Of May 9/2 SP 6/1 🏆 WON
3 Give Me The Night 11/2 9TH