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Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Nursery Handicap Stakes

20:00 Southwell (AW) Thu 27 Aug 2026 6f16y Class 4 Good 7 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Trust Yourself silks

Trust Yourself

SPECULATIVE Advised 2/1 Est. 35%

🥉 3RD

Mr Fox says

Trust Yourself (SR:81, 2/1) carries the lightest weight in the field at 8-10, a meaningful advantage over rivals at 9-3 to 9-9, and has compressed spectacularly in the market — steaming in 32% to favouritism. The 0061 form string reads left-to-right as early struggles giving way to a sharp last-time-out win, and both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm proven ability over today's 6f on Good ground. James Tate operates at a 17% strike rate with 407 runners — one of the stronger trainer signals in this field — and Silvestre De Sousa (13%, 893) is a clear booking upgrade relative to most rivals' jockeys. The class rise (↑1) is a concern, but the weight allowance and market conviction comfortably offset it. Each-way alternative: Persian Land. Main danger: Lord Ragnar — Lord Ragnar (SR:84, 9/2) is the joint-highest-rated runner in the field on SR, carries only 9-3, has proven distance form (DistFit:+), and Billy Loughnane's 19% career strike rate is the best jockey figure on the card — despite the class rise, raw ability and light weight make him a genuine threat.

Verify· #14553

Full result

Winner: Nour (IRE) at SP 4/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Nour silks Nour K. R. Burke · Clifford Lee 11/4
  2. 2 Lord Ragnar silks Lord Ragnar Fox #3 Ed Dunlop · Billy Loughnane 10/3
  3. 3 Trust Yourself silks Trust Yourself Fox #1 James Tate · Silvestre De Sousa 5/2
  4. 4 Too Many Spirits silks Too Many Spirits Fox #4 Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood · Oisin Orr 15/2
  5. 5 Furturra silks Furturra Tim Easterby · Duran Fentiman 10/1
  6. 6 Statten Island silks Statten Island Kevin Ryan · Tom Eaves 14/1
  7. 7 Persian Land silks Persian Land Fox #2 David Evans · Pat Cosgrave 11/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Trust Yourself silks Trust Yourself 2/1 🥉 3RD
  2. 2 Persian Land silks Persian Land 17/2 7TH
  3. 3 Lord Ragnar silks Lord Ragnar 9/2 🥈 2ND
  4. 4 Too Many Spirits silks Too Many Spirits 13/2 🏁 4TH