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21:00 Southwell (AW) Thu 27 Aug 2026 1m6f21y Class 6 Good 5 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Captain Cairney

SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 SP 3/1 Est. 32%

🏆 WON

Mr Fox says

Captain Cairney (SR 73, 5/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field and carries a very manageable 9-4, giving him a meaningful weight advantage over Lordsbridge Grey (10-2) and Currumbin (9-13). His form string -27251 shows a recent win (rightmost figure) and consistent placing, suggesting he arrives in peak condition. GoingFit:~ confirms he handles today's good going adequately, and the Muir/Grassick yard operates at a respectable 9% strike rate. The market drift of 14% is a concern, but in a five-runner Class 6 field, drifters can still win when the SR and weight profile are clearly superior — and no rival here has a compelling case to overturn him. Each-way alternative: Worlington. Main danger: Currumbin — Currumbin (SR 66, 3/1) has steamed 11% in the market, carries only 9-13, and drops a class — market confidence on a class-dropper in a thin five-runner field is the kind of signal that can override a raw SR deficit.

Verify· #14561

Full result

Winner: Captain Cairney (GB) at SP 3/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

1 Captain Cairney Fox #1 William Muir & Chris Grassick · David Probert 10/3
2 Currumbin Fox #3 Michael Keady · Clifford Lee 15/8
3 Lordsbridge Grey S Woods · Silvestre De Sousa 9/2
4 Nanny Park Sara Ender · Jonny Peate 17/2
5 Worlington Fox #2 George Boughey · Billy Loughnane 10/3

Top 4 — how each finished

1 Captain Cairney 5/2 SP 3/1 🏆 WON
2 Worlington 3/1 5TH
3 Currumbin 3/1 🥈 2ND