Navan Racing Festival Early Bird Tickets On Sale Now Handicap

14:14 Navan Thu 27 Aug 2026 5f180y Good to Firm 14 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Cool Azul

SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 32%

Mr Fox says

Cool Azul (SR:90, 11/4) is the clear SR leader in this field by a meaningful margin — 7 points clear of the next best — and that ability edge is backed by genuine course form (W1P1 at Navan) and a confirmed DistFit:+ at today's trip of 5f180y. The recent form string 223712 shows a win just 9 days ago, indicating peak fitness, and trainer A Oliver at 11% with W J Lee (14%) is a competent combination. The mark is up 6lb on the last win which is the one caution, but the SR advantage over the rest of this 12,000 euro handicap field is significant enough to absorb that rise. The 11/4 price implies around 27% market probability — our 32% estimate reflects the SR dominance and course-distance suitability combining more strongly than the market has priced. Each-way alternative: Gotta Catch'em All. Main danger: Gotta Catch'em All — Gotta Catch'em All has steamed in 20% in the market (the strongest positive move in the field), holds course form W1P1 at Navan, has a confirmed DistFit:+ at this trip, and blinkers fitted suggest connections expect a career-best — at 17/2 the market money is meaningful.

Verify· #14422

Full result

Winner: Amiata (IRE) at SP 4/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.