← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Curragh To Curragh Charity Cycle This Saturday Handicap (Div II)
Mr Fox’s call
Borora Aura
SPECULATIVE Advised 12/1 Est. 22%
Mr Fox says
Borora Aura (SR:53, 12/1) is the standout market mover in this modest field, steaming in 43% from opening — the most aggressive market support of any runner by a wide margin. Carrying a light 8-7 as a 3-year-old, she has the lowest weight burden among the younger horses and benefits from trainer Michael Mulvany's respectable 12% strike rate (best in the field). Form reads 942966 with a recent '6' last time, which is modest but consistent with a horse finding its level; the market money at 43% in is a strong signal that connections expect a forward step. While DistFit:- is a concern, the same flag applies to most rivals, and at 12/1 the price more than compensates for the risk in a race where no horse has a compelling course-and-distance profile. Each-way alternative: Kingcharles. Main danger: Sherekiya — Sherekiya (SR:68, 7/2) carries the joint-highest SR in the field, is trained by the proven D K Weld (11% strike rate, 124 runners), ridden by Chris Hayes (11%), and at 9-8 has a manageable weight; if Weld has this 3-year-old ready to improve on a 73 recent sequence the market price makes her the most dangerous rival.
Full result
Winner: Avec Grand Plaisir (FR) at SP 3/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Avec Grand Plaisir 4/1
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2
Sheamus Seimhiu 66/1
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3
Comfort Line Fox #4 6/1
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4
Ella's Gold 11/1
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5
Mythical Rock 8/1
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6
Cosmic Funk 11/1
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7
Hale Bopp 11/1
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8
Kingcharles Fox #2 8/1
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9
Think About It 100/1
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10
Borora Aura Fox #1 10/1
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11
Trumph 9/1
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12
The Holy Apostle 14/1
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—
Loingseoir 10/1
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—
Sherekiya Fox #3 4/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Borora Aura 12/1 10TH
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2
Kingcharles 8/1 8TH
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3
Sherekiya 7/2
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4
Comfort Line 7/1 🥉 3RD