← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
GAIN The Advantage Series Handicap
Mr Fox’s call
Millhone
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Millhone carries the highest SR in the field at 68, a meaningful edge over Chicago Moon (SR 65) and Blissful Bonita (SR 62), and does so off a competitive 9-3 — 7lb below Chicago Moon's 9-10. The form string 079223 shows a consistent tightening of finishing positions, with three consecutive placed efforts suggesting a horse that is improving and running to its mark. At 4/1 the market has it as co-favourite, reflecting connection confidence through Charles Weld's yard. While the trainer's overall strike rate is modest (0%/27 runners), this is a relatively lightly-raced yard and the jockey booking of apprentice Rory Mulligan at 8%/133 is workmanlike rather than damning — the SR lead and weight advantage over the field's other principals are the decisive factors. Each-way alternative: Blissful Bonita. Main danger: Chicago Moon — Chicago Moon (SR 65) carries blinkers and has the second-best SR in the field, with a last-time-out win figure in the form string (937514 — rightmost digit 4 is most recent, but a '1' recently appears), and Henry De Bromhead at 14% strike rate with W J Lee aboard represents a powerful combination despite the 9-10 weight and a 10% market drift.
Full result
Winner: Sunrush (IRE) at SP 8/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Sunrush 8/1
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2
Millhone Fox #1 3/1
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3
Love Orchid Fox #4 15/2
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4
Blissful Bonita Fox #3 5/1
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5
Mare Crisium 20/1
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6
Connecteo 17/2
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7
Nando Lily 40/1
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8
Chapel Island 16/1
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9
Cameclose 16/1
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10
Parish Team 33/1
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11
Chicago Moon Fox #2 9/2
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12
Essential Comedy 20/1
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13
Chloe's Boy 40/1
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14
Stabannon 50/1
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15
Cascade Canyon 18/1
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16
Werifesteria 33/1
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17
Strike De Vega 33/1
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18
Soigne 33/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Millhone 4/1 🥈 2ND
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2
Chicago Moon 9/2 11TH
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3
Blissful Bonita 11/2 🏁 4TH
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4
Love Orchid 15/2 🥉 3RD