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Noah's Ark Christmas Party Race Day Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Crackergee
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/4 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Crackergee (SR:78, 7/4) is the SR leader in this Class 5 field and carries the same weight as top-rated Robusto despite a 5-point SR deficit — a clean weight relationship. The 18% market inward move is the strongest Mkt:in signal in the field and represents meaningful confidence from connections and informed money. Course:W1P1 at Ffos Las is a direct course advantage over most rivals, and a ClassMv:= confirms no class-rise penalty. The return from 46 days is the only note of caution, but DistFit:? at this trip simply means insufficient sample rather than proven failure, and the trainer Hughie Morrison (10% strike rate, 160 runners) has the depth to know this horse stays. Each-way alternative: Flightofthephoenix. Main danger: Robusto — Robusto (SR:83) is the highest-rated horse in the field, won last time out (Form:015831), has a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's good ground, and carries only 1lb more than Crackergee despite a 5-point SR advantage — the drift of 7% is modest and may simply reflect blinkers applied first time, which can as easily spark improvement.
Full result
Winner: Flightofthephoenix (IRE) at SP 9/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Flightofthephoenix Fox #3 7/2
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2
Hibernate 11/1
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3
Raintown 4/1
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4
King's Castle Fox #4 9/2
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5
Crackergee Fox #1 2/1
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Robusto Fox #2 7/2
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Luan -
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Shaffron 15/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Crackergee 7/4 5TH
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2
Robusto 7/2
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3
Flightofthephoenix 3/1 SP 9/2 🏆 WON
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4
King's Castle 6/1 🏁 4TH