← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Ivegate Building Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Anyasi
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Anyasi (SR 94, 11/4) is the second-highest-rated runner in the field and arrives on a sharp 3-11 form line — two consecutive wins after a third — with proven distance fitness (DistFit:+) and the backing of a 20%-strike-rate trainer in Roger Varian alongside jockey Ray Dawson (16%). The weight of 9-11 is fair for the SR carried, and the 11/4 market price implies ~27% probability which aligns closely with the multi-signal case here. The class rise (ClassMv:↑1) is the main caution, but the form and connections quality suggest the horse is progressive enough to handle it. Veblen Good's strong market move (Mkt:in37%) is noted but that runner carries a DistFit:- flag at 6f — a real concern — while Anyasi is proven at the trip. Each-way alternative: Veblen Good. Main danger: Veblen Good — Veblen Good (SR 95, the field's highest rating, Mkt:in37%) is clearly the most fancied runner and the market steam is significant — the DistFit:- at 6f is a concern but O'Meara's 11%-strike yard and Conor Whiteley's 18% record suggest connections believe the trip is workable today.
Full result
Winner: Deep Havana (GB) at SP 28/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Deep Havana 18/1
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2
Yes I'm Mali 17/2
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3
Woodstock 11/1
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4
Art Lover 12/1
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5
Anyasi Fox #1 11/4
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6
Kats Bob 25/1
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7
We Never Stop 33/1
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8
Starmade Fox #4 10/1
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9
Durham Castle 14/1
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10
Jordan Electrics 16/1
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11
Lord Roxby Fox #3 15/2
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12
Manila Scouse 25/1
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13
Eye Of Dubai 18/1
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14
Veblen Good Fox #2 11/2
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15
Topwarrior 28/1
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16
Big Cyril 66/1
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17
Novello Lad 33/1
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18
County Carlow 40/1
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Woven 18/1
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Havana Rum -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Anyasi 11/4 5TH
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2
Veblen Good 5/1 14TH
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3
Lord Roxby 15/2 11TH
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4
Starmade 10/1 8TH