← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Coca-Cola HBC Ireland And Northern Ireland 3-Y-O Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
Nicky Larson
SPECULATIVE SP 8/13F Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Nicky Larson (SR:76) is the highest-rated horse in the field and the only runner with two hurdle starts under his belt, showing a 3-1 form line that demonstrates genuine ability and consistency. He carries top-weight of 11-4 but the SR advantage over the next best (Swift Charm SR:75) is meaningful in a field this modest, and Paul Nolan at 9% with Sean Flanagan is a competent combination. All runners share identical DistFit:? and GoingFit:? so no horse holds a proven edge there, but Nicky Larson's actual race experience (two runs, placed both times) over horses who are either unraced under Rules or have a single poor run gives him a clear form edge in a 3YO novice hurdle at this level. Each-way alternative: Swift Charm. Main danger: Swift Charm — Swift Charm (SR:75) matches Nicky Larson at the top of the SR table, carries a favourable 10-5 versus 11-4, and Crawford's yard has clearly targeted this race as a suitable debut for a stable companion — the dual headgear (ht) application suggests connections believe they need to sharpen the horse up and are serious about a big run first time out.
Full result
Winner: Nicky Larson (FR) at SP 8/13F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Nicky Larson Fox #1
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2
Nod Of Approval
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3
No Bother Aoife Fox #3
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4
Point Star
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5
Swift Charm Fox #2
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6
Sands Castle
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7
Fay Og
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8
Camp Verde
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—
Moon Aura
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Nicky Larson SP 8/13F 🏆 WON
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2
Swift Charm 5TH
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3
No Bother Aoife 🥉 3RD