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Pepsico (Walkers Snacks) Maiden Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
Lisnadill
SPECULATIVE Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Lisnadill carries the highest SR in the field at 138 — a clear margin above the cluster of 129-133 rivals — and also benefits from a 7lb weight advantage over the majority of the field at 10-6 versus 10-13. That combination of superior ability rating and favourable weight concession is the strongest multi-signal case available in what is a weak maiden. The tongue-tie-free cheekpieces (HG:p) suggest connections are trying to sharpen focus, and trainer C A McBratney's 9% strike rate is respectable in a small yard. The 91-day absence and a form string of '/‐' (a season break with a prior non-finish) is the key risk, but first-time-over-hurdles or lightly-raced horses regularly show their true ability when the penny drops in maiden hurdles at this level. Each-way alternative: Teddy Jones. Main danger: Santa Domingo — Santa Domingo (SR:133) has the second-best rating in the field and jockey J J Slevin — the strongest booking by strike rate among all riders here at 11% from 480 rides — which suggests connections may expect a forward showing on return from a 335-day layoff.
Full result
Winner: Teddy Jones (IRE) at SP 7/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Teddy Jones Fox #3
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2
Seamy Appletart
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3
Wackestone
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4
Wee Fallon
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5
Santa Domingo Fox #2
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6
Hidden Empire Fox #4
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7
Lisnadill Fox #1
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8
Oops A Daisy
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3
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4