← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Denny Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
Rocky's Diamond
SPECULATIVE Est. 24%
Mr Fox says
Rocky's Diamond (SR:120) is the highest-rated horse in the field and carries a competitive 11-5, giving a weight edge over top-weight Reverend Hubert (11-10, SR:118). The MarkMv:-1 indicates the handicapper has eased the mark slightly, a positive signal, and a DistFit:~ at 3m plus a GoingFit:? on Good to Firm is offset by recency (14 days since last run) and a trainer (Queally, 17% strike rate) who is the most efficient handler in this field by career strike rate. The recent form 6-0P13 shows a win last time out — the rightmost digit — which is the strongest immediate form available, and the apprentice claim from Kenneally (11% SR, 399 runners) adds real value at this level. Each-way alternative: Gangster Granny. Main danger: Reverend Hubert — Reverend Hubert (SR:118) has confirmed DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ at 3m on Good to Firm — the only runner with both conditions ticked — and despite carrying top-weight 11-10, a last-time-out form figure of '0' followed by earlier placed efforts suggests a bounce-back is plausible with the cheekpieces (p) applied.
Full result
Winner: Reverend Hubert (IRE) at SP 9/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Reverend Hubert Fox #2
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2
Samui Fox #4
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3
Rocky's Diamond Fox #1
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4
Clay Pigeons
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5
Ambitious Fellow
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Loch Cuan
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Thecompanysergeant
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The Friday Man
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Gangster Granny Fox #3
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Rocky's Diamond 🥉 3RD
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2
Reverend Hubert SP 9/4F 🏆 WON
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3
Gangster Granny
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4
Samui 🥈 2ND