← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Hovis Ireland Mares Flat Race
Mr Fox’s call
Bredas Pearl
SPECULATIVE Est. 22%
Mr Fox says
Bredas Pearl (SR:71) is the highest-rated runner in a field where the SR range spans only 55-71, making her the marginal ability leader. Crucially, she has the most informative form string in the race — a 5-3-2 sequence showing she has actually run and placed, with two recent runs (Days:21) confirming she is fit and race-sharp coming into this. Her trainer John C McConnell has a modest strike rate (3%) but the horse's competitive placing record over similar NH-style distances gives her a concrete edge over the majority of the field who have zero prior outings (Form:------). Weight of 11-4 is manageable and lighter than the top two weights, adding a small physical edge. Each-way alternative: Hilly Filly. Main danger: Missouri Snow — Missouri Snow's 1-1 form line — two wins from two runs — suggests an unbeaten and potentially unexposed mare who, if fit and handling the trip, could outclass this field despite the low-volume trainer record.
Full result
Winner: Hutton Star (IRE) at SP 13/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Hutton Star
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2
Hilly Filly Fox #2
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3
Clovelly Charm
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4
Anna Quaintance
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5
Junction Road
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6
Maxdale Prinxess
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7
Molly Des Bruyeres Fox #4
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8
Cave Daisy
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9
Poet's Creek
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10
Bresil Belle
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—
Missouri Snow Fox #3
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—
Bredas Pearl Fox #1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Bredas Pearl
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2
Hilly Filly 🥈 2ND
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3
Missouri Snow
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4
Molly Des Bruyeres 7TH