← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Treo Eile Handicap Hurdle (Div II)
Mr Fox’s call
Sekakarma
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 SP 100/30F Est. 22%
Mr Fox says
Sekakarma (SR:86, 10/3) is the clear class leader in this 17-runner maiden-level hurdle field, sitting 3 SR points clear of second-rated Chosen Princess (SR:83) and carrying only 10-11 — a reasonable weight for the ability on offer. The GoingFit:~ indicates moderate but not absent evidence of handling good ground, which is far more reassuring than the outright GoingFit:- flags on several rivals. Darragh O'Keeffe (14% strike rate from 918 career rides) is by far the most accomplished jockey in the race and his booking is a significant positive signal. The market drift of 17% is the one concern, but in a weak 17-runner handicap hurdle with no standout competitor, SR dominance plus elite jockey appointment outweighs the drift — the going concern or a tactical mismatch over the trip likely explains the drift rather than a fundamental unsoundness in the horse's chance. Each-way alternative: Chosen Princess. Main danger: Chosen Princess — Chosen Princess (SR:83, 7/2) is the second-highest-rated horse, carries only 11-7 versus Sekakarma's 10-11 — a manageable weight comparison — and while Eoin Walsh's 0% strike rate is deeply concerning, the 7/2 market price suggests punter confidence that may reflect stable intel not fully captured in the visible data.
Full result
Winner: Sekakarma (IRE) at SP 100/30F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Sekakarma Fox #1 4/1
-
2
Tantrum Boy 7/1
-
3
Chosen Princess Fox #2 7/2
-
4
Sharetheknowledge 18/1
-
5
Balinaboola Steel 50/1
-
6
Fenno's Soldier 9/1
-
7
Scarlet Purse 18/1
-
8
Little Boy Sivola 22/1
-
9
Lincall 12/1
-
10
The Ducks Walk 8/1
-
11
Inches Away 14/1
-
12
Cruisin Susan 14/1
-
13
Torque De Lune 14/1
-
—
Corkbeg Fox #4 8/1
-
—
Duke Otto 16/1
-
—
Rumble Demosa 9/1
-
—
Warm In Gorey Fox #3 11/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Sekakarma 10/3 SP 100/30F 🏆 WON
-
2
Chosen Princess 7/2 🥉 3RD
-
3
Warm In Gorey 10/1
-
4
Corkbeg 17/2