← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Churchill Tyres Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Son
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Son (SR:85, 9/4) carries 9-13 and is the joint-highest SR in the field alongside Supreme Clarets, but enjoys a clear weight edge over Glenfinnan (10-2) and The Sweet Escape (9-10 stepping up in class). The 20% market move in from the morning price is the most emphatic steaming signal in the field among the genuine contenders, indicating significant market confidence. Tim Easterby's 9% strike rate from 2027 runners is a high-volume operation that rarely goes in blind, and the 10-day turnaround suggests a fit, ready horse. Although DistFit is flagged as '-' and GoingFit as '?', the recent form-string finishing with a '2' last time out shows competitive returns, and at 9/4 the market is pricing this as the most likely winner. Each-way alternative: Supreme Clarets. Main danger: Supreme Clarets — Supreme Clarets (SR:86, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field, carries a featherweight 8-13, has steamed in 25% in the market, and arrives on a recent '1' last time out — the class rise is the only concern, and the weight advantage may more than compensate.
Full result
Winner: Supreme Clarets (IRE) at SP 100/30. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Supreme Clarets Fox #2 9/2
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2
Misunderstood 9/2
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3
Son Fox #1 9/4
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4
Zowal 14/1
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5
One Night Thunder Fox #4 3/1
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6
Shadow Run 28/1
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7
Mudamer 14/1
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8
Swift Salian 16/1
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Glenfinnan 9/1
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The Sweet Escape Fox #3 10/3
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Arduis Invicta 25/1
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Highland Shah 9/1
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Obelix -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Son 9/4 🥉 3RD
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2
Supreme Clarets 4/1 SP 100/30 🏆 WON
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3
The Sweet Escape 10/3
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4
One Night Thunder 10/3 5TH