← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Mountain Goat Tours Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race
Mr Fox’s call
Alvesta
SPECULATIVE Advised 3/1 SP 5/2 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Alvesta (SR:91, 3/1) holds the highest Saturday Rating in the field by a clear margin and carries a very manageable 10-12, giving her a 16lb weight advantage over top-weight Zamond while rating 3 points superior. Her form reads 6-7131 — three finishes in the top three from her last four starts — and she brings outstanding course credentials: 2 wins and 3 places at Cartmel specifically, confirming she handles this track's undulations and tight bends. DistFit:+ confirms she's proven at this distance, and the market has edged in 5% since opening, suggesting quiet confidence from the Moffatt yard. As the stable's #1 runner (Masekela drifted 22% and carries a lower SR:74), this is clearly where Moffatt's money is. Each-way alternative: Mi Sueno. Main danger: Mi Sueno — Mi Sueno (SR:84, 3/1) ran only 4 days ago suggesting peak fitness, carries a handy 10-13, and trainer Nick Scholfield's 17% strike rate is the strongest in the field — a horse dropping the tongue-tie and showing recent form of P45121 has serious each-way claims at level weights.
Full result
Winner: Alvesta (GB) at SP 5/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Alvesta Fox #1 3/1
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2
Zamond Fox #2 11/2
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3
Lord Of The Glance 11/1
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4
Malangen 18/1
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5
Sadies Diamond 12/1
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6
Mi Sueno Fox #3 9/4
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7
Mr Lincoln Fox #4 5/1
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8
Mr Globalist 22/1
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9
Masekela 22/1
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Ambassador 10/1
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Jeepydoff Meel 40/1
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Hopjes 80/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Alvesta 3/1 SP 5/2 🏆 WON
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2
Zamond 5/1 🥈 2ND
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3
Mi Sueno 3/1 6TH
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4
Mr Lincoln 11/2 7TH