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Free Tips On Attheraces.com Ebf Novice Stakes (gbb Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Flight Tracker
SPECULATIVE Advised 2/5 Est. 42%
Mr Fox says
Flight Tracker leads the field on SR (157) and is the market's strong favourite at 2/5, a price that reflects genuine ability rather than hype — Ralph Beckett's yard (17% strike rate from 958 runners) is a high-quality operation that doesn't send horses out at short prices without solid homework. The 2-year-old's single run produced a second-place finish (Form:2), which against a 7f novice backdrop at Class 3 is a positive foundation. Mainshock and Saxon Lodge are unraced (Form:------) and despite sharp market support, their SRs of 152 and 155 respectively trail Flight Tracker's 157 on the day where experience is an additional edge. Midgham Man (SR:156, 13/8) is the genuine danger here — an SR within 1 point of Flight Tracker and a 70% market shortening — but the 5-4 form line suggests inconsistency at the bottom end, and Beckett's runner holds the class edge in trainer quality. Each-way alternative: Midgham Man. Main danger: Midgham Man — SR of 156 is within a single point of Flight Tracker's 157, the market has shortened a massive 70% suggesting strong stable confidence, and while the 5-4 form reads as mixed, the most recent run (4th then improving to a clear beaten margin) could represent a horse on the upgrade at a track where sharp 7f novices thrive.
Full result
Winner: Midgham Man (GB) at SP 8/13F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Midgham Man Fox #2 1/1
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2
Time Glory 11/1
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3
Mainshock Fox #4 4/1
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4
Montgomery Bell 14/1
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5
Saxon Lodge Fox #3 10/3
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Flight Tracker Fox #1 2/5
Top 4 — how each finished
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3
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4