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Mr Fox’s call
Dappled Light
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Dappled Light (SR 78, 11/4) is the clear class leader in this field by a meaningful margin — the next-best SR is Rosemary's Rose at 70, a full 8 points behind. The form string -71122 shows a progressive sequence with back-to-back runner-up finishes tightening into wins, and the drop in class (ClassMv:↓1) gives a further edge. Course form is excellent (W1P2 at Chepstow) and DistFit:+ confirms comfort over 7f. The weight of 9-9 is the joint-highest but is justified by the SR advantage, and Finley Marsh (12% career strike rate) is a capable booking at this level. Each-way alternative: Connie's Rose. Main danger: Rosemary's Rose — Rosemary's Rose (SR 70, 9/2) has GoingFit:+ on today's good ground, carries a favourable 9-3, and a MarkMv:+7 is the only concern — her consistent 562233 form at the same class level suggests she's knocking hard on the door and could convert at any point.
Full result
Winner: Emery Down (GB) at SP 11/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Emery Down 4/1
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2
Kaleidoscope Eyes Fox #4 6/1
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3
Connie's Rose Fox #3 17/2
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4
Dappled Light Fox #1 5/2
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5
Rosemary's Rose Fox #2 4/1
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6
Redredrobin 12/1
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7
Mayberry Moon 10/1
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8
Port Louis 16/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Dappled Light 11/4 🏁 4TH
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2
Rosemary's Rose 9/2 5TH
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3
Connie's Rose 8/1 🥉 3RD
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4
Kaleidoscope Eyes 11/2 🥈 2ND