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Mr Fox’s call
Buck Barrow
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Buck Barrow (SR:63, 4/1, Wgt:9-7) leads the SR rankings alongside Head Girl but carries 2lb less and is trained by Adrian Wintle (11% strike rate) with jockey Finley Marsh (12% strike rate) — a competent combination for this level. Crucially, Buck Barrow ran just 8 days ago, indicating peak fitness and a yard happy to run back quickly, and the DistFit:~ and GoingFit:~ suggest the 1m4f on good ground is workable rather than problematic. The form string 671335 shows consistent improvement into placings at this class and the MarkMv:= means the handicapper hasn't raised the bar since the last win, leaving conditions favourable. Head Girl is the clear danger but is running off a mark 5lb higher than at last win (MarkMv:+5) with GoingFit:- and an 18% market drift — the money is against her today. Each-way alternative: Wonderful Wendy. Main danger: Wonderful Wendy — Wonderful Wendy (SR:56, 10/3) has steamed in 8% in the market, carries a light 9-8, and has some course form (W0P1 at Chepstow) — the market confidence here is real and must be respected even against the DistFit:- and GoingFit:- flags.
Full result
Winner: Heart Sign (GB) at SP 16/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Heart Sign 17/2
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2
Head Girl Fox #2 5/1
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3
Buck Barrow Fox #1 7/2
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4
Cloudy Rose Fox #4 5/1
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5
Wonderful Wendy Fox #3 3/1
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6
Baileys Warrior 16/1
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7
Dash of Class 11/2
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8
Big Lou 40/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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4