← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Virgin Bet Daily Price Boosts Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Zachary Hickes
SPECULATIVE Advised 13/8 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Zachary Hickes (SR:80, 13/8) leads the field on ability and carries a favourable 9-7 despite stepping up in class (↑1), which Roger Varian's yard (20% strike rate, 670 runners) handles routinely with well-bred improvers. The market has shortened 6% since opening, consistent with stable confidence, and at 4 years old this horse has the most upside in the field. Jack Mitchell (13%, 931 runners) is a reliable booking. The only genuine concern is DistFit:? at 1m6f — this trip may be unexplored territory — but Varian regularly targets stamina trips with progressive types, and the SR gap over the next-best (Arcturus Flame at 81, Educator at 76) is meaningful when combined with the weight advantage over top-weights. Each-way alternative: Arcturus Flame. Main danger: Arcturus Flame — Arcturus Flame (SR:81, 7/2) actually matches Zachary Hickes on SR, has shortened 8% in the market, Cieren Fallon aboard at 19% strike rate is the most potent jockey booking in the race, and Course:W0P1 shows Goodwood familiarity — if the step up in class (↑1) is within its compass, it is the most credible threat.
Full result
Winner: Gooloogong (IRE) at SP 7/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Gooloogong Fox #4 9/1
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2
Zachary Hickes Fox #1 5/4
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3
Russian Rumour 22/1
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4
Appier 11/1
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5
Arcturus Flame Fox #2 11/4
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6
Taritino 14/1
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7
Caprelo 16/1
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8
Bright Legend 25/1
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9
Scarlet Moon 16/1
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Mr Freedom 10/1
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Educator Fox #3 11/1
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Two Plus Two 16/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Zachary Hickes 13/8 🥈 2ND
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2
Arcturus Flame 7/2 5TH
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3
Educator 17/2
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4
Gooloogong 9/1 SP 7/2 🏆 WON