← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Betmgm Real Deal Nursery Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Victory Gold
MEDIUM Advised 3/1 SP 7/4F Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Victory Gold (SR 104, 3/1, 9-11) is the standout on ability — the highest SR in the field by a clear margin of 14 points over the next best — and the market has dramatically confirmed this with a 37% inward move, the strongest steam in the race by far. The form string 24012 shows a win last time out at this same class level, and DistFit:+ confirms he handles the 7f trip. Saeed bin Suroor (21% strike rate) with Oisin Murphy (21%, 1,366 career runners) is a powerful pairing who do not take their time bringing a two-year-old to market unless ready. The 2lb mark rise (MarkMv:+2) after the last win is a minimal penalty and no obstacle at 9-11. Each-way alternative: Sanbona Warrior. Main danger: Sanbona Warrior — Sanbona Warrior (SR 90, 8/1, 9-1) has steamed in 32%, carries the lightest weight in the field at a 10lb advantage over Victory Gold, has DistFit:+ at 7f, and the application of a hood (HG:p) suggests connections have found a gear — the combination of market confidence, low weight, and stable targeting makes him the clearest threat.
Full result
Winner: Victory Gold (IRE) at SP 7/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Victory Gold Fox #1 9/4
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2
Noble Prince Fox #4 11/4
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3
Dontlookbackinanga 9/1
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4
Sonny Parvenue 9/2
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5
La Fuerza Fox #3 3/1
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Clive The Writer 11/2
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Sanbona Warrior Fox #2 15/2
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Waasil -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Victory Gold 3/1 SP 7/4F 🏆 WON
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2
Sanbona Warrior 8/1
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3
La Fuerza 9/2 5TH
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4
Noble Prince 7/2 🥈 2ND