← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Total Task Consultancy Take The Reins Handicap Stakes (Div II)
Mr Fox’s call
Madman
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Madman (SR 84, 7/2) matches Angel Gabriel for the top SR in the field but carries a clear weight advantage at 8-13 versus 9-8, a meaningful 9lb edge in a competitive Class 4 sprint. The form string 692611 shows two consecutive wins most recently — form coming right at the ideal moment — and GoingFit:+ confirms he handles today's good-to-firm ground, the only horse in the field with a confirmed positive going profile. Course:W2P2 at Windsor is a strong specialist record rarely seen in fields of this nature, and David Egan (14% career strike rate, 569 runners) is a high-quality booking for a yard with limited firepower, suggesting connections are serious. The MarkMv:+8 rise in the mark is a concern and the trainer's 5% strike rate gives pause, but the weight, going confirmation, course record and improving form all point the same way. Each-way alternative: Angel Gabriel. Main danger: Angel Gabriel — Angel Gabriel (SR 84, 4/1) matches Madman on ability, has steamed in 33% in the market with Ralph Beckett's 17% trainer strike rate lending real credibility, and at 9-8 the weight is still manageable — if the GoingFit:- flag proves less significant than expected, he's the most likely winner.
Full result
Winner: Angel Gabriel (IRE) at SP 11/4J. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Angel Gabriel Fox #2 4/1
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2
Crafty Blue Fox #4 5/1
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3
Madman Fox #1 4/1
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4
Lil Brother 28/1
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5
Tyger Bay 18/1
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6
HK Fourteen Fox #3 15/2
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Moving Force 7/1
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Star Chorus 11/2
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Saucy Jane 17/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Madman 7/2 🥉 3RD
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2
Angel Gabriel 4/1 SP 11/4J 🏆 WON
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3
HK Fourteen 7/1 6TH
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4
Crafty Blue 5/1 🥈 2ND