← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Weatherbys August Stakes (Listed Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Warrant Holder
SPECULATIVE Advised 3/1 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Warrant Holder (SR 123, 3/1) is the class standout — the highest SR in the field by a meaningful margin over Tenability (SR 117) and the joint-SR runners at 113. Trained by John & Thady Gosden (25% strike rate, 776 runners — the sharpest yard represented), partnered by Billy Loughnane (19%, 1,804 runners), and with a 32% market move inward since opening, the money is firmly behind this horse. The form string 31-120 reads as a horse who showed high promise in a win-sequence, then was beaten last time stepping up in class — this Listed contest represents a structured rise (ClassMv:↑1) but the yard's 25% strike rate and the tongue-tie addition suggest they believe the horse is ready. The MarkMv:+11 is the only note of caution, but at 3/1 with Gosden confidence and the field's best SR, this is the play. Each-way alternative: Tenability. Main danger: Respond — Respond (SR 110, 15/2) has shortened 32% in the market — matching Warrant Holder's inward move — carries DistFit:+ confirming it handles this trip, and Andrew Balding's 19% yard strike rate adds credibility despite the +9lb mark rise.
Full result
Winner: Tenability (GB) at SP 2/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Tenability Fox #2 3/1
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2
Silawi 9/1
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3
White Birch 6/1
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4
Respond Fox #3 15/2
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5
Sea Scout 9/1
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6
Muddy Mooy 100/1
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7
Ghostwriter 13/2
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8
Ambiente Friendly 40/1
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Warrant Holder Fox #1 5/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3