← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Audi Naas Nursery Handicap
Mr Fox’s call
Luca Brillante
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Luca Brillante (SR 77, 5/2) is the shortest-priced runner despite not being the SR leader, and the market has shortened 5% — unusual in a field where most runners are drifting. D K Weld is a trainer who places horses precisely, and Chris Hayes (11% strike rate, 394 career rides) is the strongest jockey booking in the race. The form of 6-7-2 shows progressive improvement with a recent placed effort 11 days ago, and at 9-10 she is 7lb clear of top-weight Tradewinds. DistFit is unknown at 7f but the step up in trip from a shortish career is consistent with a maturing juvenile finding her trip, and GoingFit is likewise open — a neutral rather than a negative. Each-way alternative: Banks Of The Boyne. Main danger: Banks Of The Boyne — SR 86 is the best in the field and the recent win (Form ending in 1) at the same mark (MarkMv:=) means if the going proves not to be a genuine issue, Mulvany's horse has the raw ability to overpower Luca Brillante.
Full result
Winner: Exchange Student (IRE) at SP 9/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Exchange Student 11/1
-
2
Luca Brillante Fox #1 5/2
-
3
Banks Of The Boyne Fox #2 4/1
-
4
Elyatta 17/2
-
5
Margot Mae Fox #4 3/1
-
6
Tradewinds Fox #3 4/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Luca Brillante 5/2 🥈 2ND
-
2
Banks Of The Boyne 7/2 🥉 3RD
-
3
Tradewinds 4/1 6TH
-
4
Margot Mae 3/1 5TH