← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Heider Family Stables Round Tower Stakes (Group 3)
Mr Fox’s call
Great Barrier Reef
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/5 Est. 42%
Mr Fox says
Great Barrier Reef (SR 120, 4/5) is the clear standout on multiple converging signals. A perfect 111 form line at the same class level (ClassMv:=) demonstrates consistent, progressive ability, and Ryan Moore's booking — a jockey striking at 27% career — is the strongest riding appointment in the field. Aidan O'Brien's 22% yard strike rate is elite at this level, and the horse's confirmed DistFit:+ at 6f means the trip holds no question marks. The only caveat is GoingFit:? (limited good-ground data), but at 2yo with a 111 record, this is not a horse showing going sensitivity — it's simply a sample-size gap. No rival comes close on SR or form consistency. Each-way alternative: Velozee. Main danger: Velozee — Velozee (SR 120, 4/1) matches Great Barrier Reef on SR, is confirmed DistFit:+ at 6f, and has steamed in 29% in the market — the strongest move in the field — suggesting Twomey's yard has him primed for a peak performance after a below-par run last time.
Full result
Winner: Push The Boat Out (IRE) at SP 17/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Push The Boat Out 11/1
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2
Great Barrier Reef Fox #1 8/11
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3
Velozee Fox #2 4/1
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4
Livenka Fox #3 9/2
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5
Where Love Lives 20/1
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—
Ruler's Control 28/1
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—
Beibhinn 66/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Great Barrier Reef 4/5 🥈 2ND
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2
Velozee 4/1 🥉 3RD
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3
Livenka 5/1 🏁 4TH