← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Tote Irish Cambridgeshire
Mr Fox’s call
Loughrea
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/2 SP 9/2 Est. 26%
Mr Fox says
Loughrea (SR 102, 9/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and arrives on a hot 5-2-1-1 form sequence — two consecutive wins — with proven distance aptitude (DistFit:+) at a mile. The 33% market shortening (Mkt:in33%) is the most aggressive steaming in the race, signalling strong informed support. Carrying just 9-0 gives a meaningful weight advantage over top-weight Big Gossey (10-2, SR 82) and Pierre Royal (9-2, SR 98), meaning the SR edge is not being offset by the handicapper. The 44-day break is the one caveat, but trainer Andrew Slattery running at a 10% strike rate and the strong market move suggest the yard is confident the horse is ready. Each-way alternative: Pierre Royal. Main danger: Pierre Royal — Pierre Royal (SR 98, 5/1, DistFit:+, Mkt:in13%) has proven distance aptitude, is the McGuinness yard's #1 runner over stablemate Johnny Soda given the stronger jockey booking and tighter market move, and carries a light 9-2 — a genuinely competitive weight — giving it the best chance of upsetting Loughrea if the winner needs more race-time after 44 days off.
Full result
Winner: Loughrea (IRE) at SP 9/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Loughrea Fox #1 9/2
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2
Manton Bay 9/1
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3
Pierre Royal Fox #2 4/1
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4
Booyea 12/1
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5
Playin Cool 22/1
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6
Rahmi 10/1
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7
Genuine Article 22/1
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8
Final Voyage 20/1
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9
Big Gossey 18/1
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10
Lord Massusus 16/1
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11
Johnny Soda Fox #3 10/1
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12
Ribee 11/1
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13
Hardy Warrior 15/2
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14
Slieve Binnian 33/1
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15
Engines On 40/1
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16
Hellorhighwater 7/1
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17
Dos Mukasan 66/1
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—
Kalir Fox #4 -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Loughrea 9/2 SP 9/2 🏆 WON
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2
Pierre Royal 5/1 🥉 3RD
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3
Johnny Soda 10/1 11TH
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4
Kalir 7/1