← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
William Hill Beverley Bullet Sprint Stakes (Listed Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Fluorescence
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/1 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Fluorescence (SR 107, 5/1) carries the lightest competitive weight at 8-13 and has been dramatically backed from a much wider price — a 57% market move inward is the strongest Mkt signal in the field by a considerable margin, suggesting informed confidence that the step up to Listed company (ClassMv:↑1) is within her compass. Edward Bethell's 16% career strike rate is the best of any trainer in this field, and Oisin Orr (14%) is a meaningfully stronger jockey booking than most rivals carry. The recent form of -U4931 shows improvement culminating in a last-time-out win, and at 8-13 she has a 4-6lb weight advantage over the main dangers. The GoingFit:? is a concern on soft ground, but the market move suggests connections believe she handles it. Each-way alternative: Jm Jungle. Main danger: Jm Jungle — Jm Jungle (SR 112, 11/8) is the highest-rated horse in the field and has also been backed in 38% from opening price, with Jason Hart (14% strike rate) booked and blinkers applied as a sharpener — if the MarkMv:+6 penalty is within his compass, his SR superiority makes him the one most likely to deny Fluorescence.
Full result
Winner: Jm Jungle (IRE) at SP 7/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Jm Jungle Fox #2 6/4
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2
Argentine Tango 13/2
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3
Badri 20/1
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4
Elegant Erin 20/1
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5
Al Shabab Storm Fox #3 5/1
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6
Washington Heights 6/1
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7
Ain't Nobody Fox #4 11/2
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8
Beaujolais Nouveau 20/1
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Fluorescence Fox #1 5/1
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Heavenly Heather 13/2
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Shagraan 10/3
Top 4 — how each finished
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4