← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Constant Security Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Ventura Express
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/1 Est. 22%
Mr Fox says
Ventura Express (SR:72, 7/1) is one of the joint-highest rated horses in the field and has been dramatically supported in the market — steaming in 42% from opening price, which is the strongest market move in the race by some distance. Paul Midgley (10% strike rate, 461 runners) is the yard's #1 runner here, backed by David Nolan (10%, 748 career runners), the more experienced of the two Midgley jockey bookings versus Mulrennan on stablemate Tiriac. Carrying 9-9 gives it a weight advantage over the joint-rated Qila on 9-8, and while DistFit:- is a concern at this trip, the massive market confidence suggests connections believe the horse is well-placed today. The 42% market move is simply too strong to ignore in a Class 5 sprint handicap where no runner has a commanding SR lead. Each-way alternative: Qila. Main danger: Tiriac — Tiriac (SR:72, 9/2) shares joint-top SR with Ventura Express and Qila, has been backed in 14% by the same Midgley yard, carries MarkMv:-3 (running off a mark 3lb below last win), and Paul Mulrennan's booking brings serious experience — if connections split their allegiance in running, Tiriac has the ability to overhaul the selection.
Full result
Winner: Harb (GB) at SP 100/30. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Harb 5/1
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2
Empress Olivia 18/1
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3
Miss Brazen 8/1
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4
Simba's Pride 8/1
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5
Tiriac Fox #3 11/4
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6
Great Fox #4 15/2
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7
Dream Deal 10/1
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8
Ice Cold Alex 14/1
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9
Holbache 20/1
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10
Tees Aggregates 14/1
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11
Military Girl 14/1
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12
Daizen 12/1
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Ventura Express Fox #1 -
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Qila Fox #2 11/2
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Managing Director -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Ventura Express 7/1
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2
Qila 6/1
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3
Tiriac 9/2 5TH
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4
Great 9/1 6TH