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Bodhi Solutions - Exceeding Expectations In Construction Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Kinswoman
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/4 SP 4/9F Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Kinswoman (SR 91, 5/4) leads the field on SR while carrying a competitive 9-8, and critically combines DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ — the only runner proven at this 5f42y trip on good ground. The Haggas yard operates at a 21% career strike rate (best in the field), and the market has hammered her in from a morning price to 5/4 (45% inward move), reflecting strong confidence from those who know. The 8th and 4th in her last two runs are a slight concern on form, but her course place (W0P1) and proven preferences for this exact conditions combination make her the standout pick. No other runner matches her on going-plus-distance-plus-class combination. Each-way alternative: Hypnotised. Main danger: Hypnotised — Hypnotised (SR 94, highest in the field, 9-3 — 9lb lighter than Kinswoman's weight-adjusted position) carries the best raw ability and a market that has shortened 18%; if the GoingFit:- is mitigated by the light weight and the 3yo age allowance, this horse can outpace them all.
Full result
Winner: Kinswoman (GB) at SP 4/9F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Kinswoman Fox #1 8/11
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2
Elara May 13/2
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3
Fantasy Master 5/1
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4
Seven Questions Fox #3 4/1
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Adrestia Fox #4 7/2
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Rocking Ends 8/1
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Dazzling Haze -
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Michaela's Boy 12/1
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Hypnotised Fox #2 5/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Kinswoman 5/4 SP 4/9F 🏆 WON
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2
Hypnotised 5/2
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3
Seven Questions 5/1 🏁 4TH
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4
Adrestia 7/2