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Glenvale Stud Race
Mr Fox’s call
Bamako Beach
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 SP 11/8F Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Bamako Beach (SR 113, 9/4) is comfortably the best-rated horse in this field, sitting 16 points clear of the next best and carrying just 9-9 — a meaningful weight advantage over Benevento (9-10) and especially the 4yo top-weight. The form 2-271 shows a last-time-out win, and the DistFit:+ confirms proven ability at today's 7f trip. Running off the same mark as that last win (MarkMv:=) means no penalty has been added. Seamie Heffernan's booking is the stronger of the two O'Callaghan entries — Roaring Fire gets the apprentice Jamie Powell and has been off 346 days, confirming Bamako Beach as the yard's number one. The slight market drift (out 6%) is a mild concern but the SR superiority and confirmed distance suitability override it. Each-way alternative: Res Ipsa. Main danger: Res Ipsa — Res Ipsa (SR 95, 11/2) has DistFit:+ at 7f, a form line of 6-212 showing consistent placing, Colin Keane in the saddle (16% career strike rate, the strongest jockey in the field), and the backing of the in-form G M Lyons yard — enough to threaten if Bamako Beach's 53-day absence means she needs the run.
Full result
Winner: Bamako Beach (IRE) at SP 11/8F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Bamako Beach Fox #1 15/8
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2
Benevento Fox #3 11/4
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3
Felix Guido 20/1
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4
Res Ipsa Fox #2 11/2
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5
Bold Style 12/1
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6
Bella Isabella Fox #4 9/2
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7
Roaring Fire 11/1
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8
Inventor 150/1
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—
Gleneagle Bay 9/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Bamako Beach 9/4 SP 11/8F 🏆 WON
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2
Res Ipsa 11/2 🏁 4TH
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3
Benevento 9/2 🥈 2ND
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4
Bella Isabella 6/1 6TH